3 X-Flares in 2 days : The Sun’s Activity Remains High, more X-flares are in the offing
ANOTHER X-FLARE: Solar activity remains high. Active sunspot AR2087 unleashed another X-flare on June 11th (X1.0), following two X-flares (X2.1 and X1.5) on June 10th. The latest blast was intense but short-lived, and it is not expected to have significant Earth-effects.
Solar flare alerts: text, voice
The movie shows a faint CME associated with the first X-flare emerging around 1200 UT. A second, brighter CME from the second X-flare quickly overtakes it, forming a “cannibal CME.” Computer models run yesterday by NOAA analysts suggest the merged storm cloud will reach Earth mid-day on June 13th. The glancing blow could spark polar geomagnetic storms.
Meanwhile, more X-flares are in the offing. At least two sunspots (AR2080 and AR2087) have unstable ‘delta-class’ magnetic fields that could erupt at any moment. The source of yesterday’s X-flares, AR2087, is particularly potent, and it is turning toward Earth. NOAA forecasters estimate a 60% chance of M-flares and a 30% chance of X-flares on June 11th.